The actual sports part and storylines are incredible: Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid are in their seventh consecutive AFC Championship Game; the Bills have a lifetime of heartbreak, including Buffalo leading Kansas City with 13 seconds left in a 2021 Divisional Round game before losing.

On top of that, you can spot the Philadelphia defense up in the top right corner of that graph. This is a defense that can double team Terry McLaurin without getting torched by Dyami Brown or Olamide Zaccheaus. That should be enough to result in a win by seven points or more — though I do hate betting against the Commanders Cinderella story.