In 1988, Abramowitz devised his own model, called “Time for Change,” which cut Lichtman’s 13 keys down to three: the growth rate of the economy in the second quarter of the election year, the incumbent president’s approval rating, and the length of time the incumbent party has been in office.

WASHINGTON (AP) — The FBI has arrested an Afghan man who officials say was inspired by the Islamic State militant organization and was plotting an Election Day attack targeting large crowds in the U.S., the Justice Department said Tuesday.

The phrase “October surprise” was popularised during the 1980 presidential election, when Democrats hoped that the release of Iranian hostages, taken during the revolution, would save President Jimmy Carter from losing re-election. That surprise never materialised and few have since.

The plaintiffs allege the library’s staff engaged in illegal electioneering by asking questions about abortion access, how they would increase education funding, and how they would address challenges

The Justice Department announced charges on Tuesday against an Afghan national who was allegedly plotting a terrorist attack in support of ISIS on Election Day in the United States.

The Justice Department announced the arrest Tuesday of an Afghan national accused of plotting to kill Americans on Election Day on behalf of the terror group ISIS.

Florida reported almost full vote results on Election Day in 2020. It took California weeks to finish counting.

The BBC announces a range of news programming across its platforms to help people follow the lead up to the US Presidential Election 2024

Nasir Ahmad Tawhedi, a resident of Oklahoma City, was charged with conspiring to carry out a terrorist attack on behalf of ISIS, according to federal prosecutors.

It is not clear where the man intended to stage the attack, though the criminal complaint said he sought to inflict mass casualties on behalf of the Islamic State.

The Donald Trump-allied Georgia State Election Board is pushing to install people who deny the result of the 2020 presidential election as part of a monitoring team in Fulton County, the biggest Democratic-leaning county in the state and one that was consequential for Joe Biden’s victory four years ago.

Headway has received more than 500 questions from teens about this year’s presidential election. Here are their most frequently asked questions — and our answers.