After four thrilling divisional round clashes, the NFL conference championship games are set with the Buffalo Bills taking on the Kansas City Chiefs and the Washington Commanders clashing with the Philadelphia Eagles.

On top of that, you can spot the Philadelphia defense up in the top right corner of that graph. This is a defense that can double team Terry McLaurin without getting torched by Dyami Brown or Olamide Zaccheaus. That should be enough to result in a win by seven points or more — though I do hate betting against the Commanders Cinderella story.

The key in large-field DFS contests, as always, is to get away from the “chalk,” or players who will be widely rostered. That means gravitating toward less popular game situations, some of which I’ve highlighted below.