But further analysis dropped the Earth impact probability below 1% in late February ... Propulsion Laboratory have updated 2024 YR4's chance of hitting the Moon - increasing it from 1.7% to ...

NASA said that an asteroid previously believed to be destined for Earth is now more likely to make impact with the moon.

This year’s winter forecast (covering December 2024 through February 2025 ... tidal action of the Moon, the position of the planets, and a variety of other factors,” the publication explains.